Has VAR ever been wrong? Exploring the Truth Behind the Technology
Understanding Human Error and Technical Limits
- The "Check Complete" miscommunication: This happens when the VAR official thinks the on-field decision was a goal, but it was actually ruled out, leading to a "correct" check for the wrong outcome.
- Failure to draw the lines: In several offside incidents, officials simply forgot to activate the calibrated lines on their software.
- Subjective interpretation: Fouls and handballs are often a matter of opinion, and VAR officials sometimes have a different view than the on-field ref.
- Camera angle limitations: If a stadium doesn't have enough cameras, the VAR might not have a clear view of the incident, leading to an "inconclusive" result.
- Psychological pressure: The "VAR Hub" can be a high-stress environment where officials fear making a mistake, which ironically leads to more errors.
- Rushing the process: To keep the game moving, officials sometimes make quick decisions without looking at every available angle.
The Most Famous VAR Mistakes in History
- Luis Diaz vs Tottenham (2023) 📌 Perhaps the most famous error. A perfectly legal goal was disallowed because the VAR thought the on-field decision was "goal," so he said "check complete" despite the flag being up.
- Arsenal vs Brentford (2023) 📌 Lee Mason, the VAR official, failed to draw the offside lines for Ivan Toney’s equalizer. This error directly cost Arsenal two points in a title race.
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace (2023) 📌 The VAR drew the offside line from the wrong defender. This led to Pervis Estupinan's goal being wrongly disallowed.
- Everton vs Man City (2022) 📌 A clear handball by Rodri was not given as a penalty. The PGMOL chief later personally apologized to Everton's manager for the "wrong" call.
- Spurs vs Sheffield United (2019) 📌 A goal was disallowed for a "toe-nail" offside that took nearly four minutes to decide, sparking the debate about the "spirit of the game."
- Wolves vs West Ham (2024) 📌 A late equalizer was ruled out for a player standing in an offside position who "blocked the keeper's view," a decision many experts called a massive error in judgment.
- Chelsea vs West Ham (2022) 📌 Maxwel Cornet's late goal was disallowed for a "foul" on the keeper that was later admitted to be an incorrect VAR intervention.
- The "Spirit" Problem 📌 Beyond technical errors, many argue VAR is "wrong" when it intervenes in minor incidents that don't meet the "clear and obvious" threshold.
The Quality of Officiating: Accuracy Rates
- Standardizing "Clear and Obvious" Leagues are trying to define exactly when VAR should step in to avoid "over-refereeing" small details.
- Specialized VAR Training Referees are now being trained specifically for the "hub" rather than just rotating on-field refs into the video room.
- Transparency Releasing the audio of VAR discussions (like the Luis Diaz incident) helps fans understand how errors happen.
- Semi-Automated Technology Using AI for offsides removes the human "line-drawing" error entirely.
- The Challenge System Some propose a system where managers can "challenge" a decision, similar to tennis or cricket.
- Post-Match Reviews Independent panels now review every VAR decision to confirm if it was "wrong" or "right" for statistical transparency.
- Time Limits There is a growing push to put a time limit on reviews to prevent the "loss of momentum" in a match.
Comparing Accuracy: Pre-VAR vs. Post-VAR
| Metric | Pre-VAR Era | With VAR Technology |
|---|---|---|
| Offside Accuracy | Medium (Human eye limits) | High (Millimetric precision) |
| Red Card Fairness | Low (Often missed by ref) | Very High (Violent conduct caught) |
| Game Flow | Continuous | Interrupted (Average 2-min delay) |
| Human Error Rate | Approx. 1 in 5 key calls | Approx. 1 in 20 key calls |
| Fan Frustration | Directed at Ref on pitch | Directed at "The Machine" |
While the data shows that the game is "fairer" now, the psychological impact of a wrong VAR decision feels much worse because the technology had the chance to get it right. This "betrayal" of expectation is what drives the anger of fans worldwide.
Interacting with the Fans: The Trust Crisis
The relationship between the game and its audience is built on trust. When VAR is wrong, it damages that trust. To rebuild it, leagues must interact with their audience more effectively. Here are the key factors in building a better relationship between VAR and fans:
- Stadium Screen Replays👈 Fans in the stadium should see what the VAR is looking at. Currently, many are left in the dark while those at home see the replays.
- Live Referee Audio👈 Hearing the debate between the VAR and the referee in real-time would explain why a decision was made.
- Faster Decision Making👈 Reducing the "waiting time" prevents the emotional drain that occurs during a three-minute review.
- Consistent Interpretations👈 Fans get angry when a handball is given one week and ignored the next. Consistency is more important than absolute perfection.
- Accountability👈 When an official makes a "wrong" call, there should be public accountability or a clear explanation of the failure.
- Educational Campaigns👈 Leagues should better explain the "Laws of the Game" so fans know what the VAR is actually allowed to check.
The "Brand" of Football and VAR
- Protecting Integrity Ensuring that the winner of a match is decided by skill, not a technical error, protects the commercial value of the sport.
- Broadcasting Experience TV networks want a seamless experience. Long VAR delays are difficult for broadcasters to manage during live windows.
- Global Reputation Leagues like the Premier League are watched by billions. A "wrong" VAR call becomes global news instantly, affecting the league's reputation.
- Player Safety VAR is excellent at catching dangerous tackles that the referee might miss, which protects the "assets" (the players) of the clubs.
- Financial Fairness With millions of dollars at stake in betting markets and prize money, "wrong" calls have massive legal and financial implications.
Learn and Evolve: The Future of VAR
The only way to stop asking "Has VAR ever been wrong?" is to keep evolving. The first generation of VAR was purely human-led. The second generation is introducing automation. We are currently in a transition phase where the system is learning from every mistake made in the past five years.
Investment in Semi-Automated Offside Technology (SAOT) is the most promising step. It uses 12 dedicated cameras to track 29 data points on each player. This removes the human error of drawing lines on a screen. Additionally, the "connected ball" technology used in the Euros and World Cup provides real-time data on exactly when a ball was kicked.
As we learn from the failures of the past, we can develop a more robust system. This includes better communication protocols and perhaps a dedicated "VAR Referee" career path. This would ensure that officials are experts in video analysis, rather than just on-field refs trying to use a computer.
Patience and Persistence
- Patience with the learning curve.
- Persistence in improving software.
- Dedication to training officials.
- Overcoming technical hurdles.
- Trusting the long-term benefits.
- Maintaining the spirit of the game.
- Accepting that perfection is impossible.
However, it is also true that VAR has corrected thousands of mistakes that would have otherwise stood. The challenge for the future is to reduce the "wrong" percentage even further. By embracing automation, improving referee communication, and being transparent with the fans, football can ensure that VAR becomes a symbol of justice rather than a source of controversy. The journey toward a "perfect" game continues.
Frequently Asked Questions
No. Once the match has restarted or the final whistle has blown, the result is final, even if the league later admits the VAR was wrong.
2. What was the biggest VAR error in the Premier League?
Most experts agree the Luis Diaz disallowed goal for Liverpool vs Spurs in 2023 is the biggest error due to the total breakdown in communication.
3. Does VAR check every goal?
Yes, every goal is checked in the background for offside, fouls in the build-up, and whether the ball went out of play.
4. Why doesn't the referee always go to the monitor?
For factual decisions like offside, the ref doesn't need to check. He only goes to the monitor for subjective calls like fouls or red cards.
5. How often is VAR wrong?
Statistically, VAR is estimated to be "wrong" in about 1-2% of its interventions, usually due to human error in judgment or protocol.
